Eliteserien · Matchweek 30
Bodø/Glimt
BOD
Sarpsborg 08
SAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bodø/Glimt74%
Draw18%
Sarpsborg 089%
Expected goals
2.23 – 0.66
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.9%
- 1–013.0%
- 3–010.0%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bodø/Glimt will have the ball; Sarpsborg 08 will not mind.
59%Possession43%
56%Territory40%
9%From set plays25%
0.13Chance quality0.11
5.6%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bodø/Glimt, 3 for Sarpsborg 08. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bodø/Glimt
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.