Eliteserien · Matchweek 30
Bodø/Glimt
BOD
Sarpsborg 08
SAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bodø/Glimt67%
Draw18%
Sarpsborg 0815%
Expected goals
2.50 – 1.16
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–17.8%
- 1–17.6%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sarpsborg 08 will have the ball; Bodø/Glimt will not mind.
55%Possession65%
56%Territory53%
17%From set plays49%
0.14Chance quality0.11
5.9%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bodø/Glimt, 3 for Sarpsborg 08. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.