Eliteserien · Matchweek 29
Kristiansund
KRI
Lillestrøm
LIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kristiansund34%
Draw28%
Lillestrøm38%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.38
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–28.4%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lillestrøm get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
41%Possession44%
35%Territory33%
8%From set plays32%
0.08Chance quality0.13
7.7%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kristiansund, 3 for Lillestrøm. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.