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Eliteserien · Matchweek 29

Tromsø

TRO

Start

STA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Tromsø60%
Draw23%
Start16%

Expected goals

1.84 – 0.87

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.8%
  • 2–011.1%
  • 1–110.6%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Tromsø will have the ball; Start will not mind.

51%Possession38%
41%Territory35%
19%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.13
4.4%Directness8.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tromsø, 3 for Start. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.