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Eliteserien · Matchweek 29

Hamarkameratene

HAM

Sandefjord

SAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

HamKam17%
Draw25%
Sandefjord58%

Expected goals

0.85 – 1.72

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113.7%
  • 1–111.1%
  • 0–211.1%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sandefjord will have the ball; HamKam will not mind.

43%Possession63%
37%Territory44%
31%From set plays17%
0.07Chance quality0.12
9.7%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for HamKam, 3 for Sandefjord. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.