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Eliteserien · Matchweek 29

Sarpsborg 08

SAR

Brann

BRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sarpsborg 0837%
Draw29%
Brann34%

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.23

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.9%
  • 1010.7%
  • 0110.2%
  • 009.4%
  • 218.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Brann will have the ball; Sarpsborg 08 will not mind.

43%Possession63%
40%Territory54%
25%From set plays34%
0.11Chance quality0.08
6.0%Directness3.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sarpsborg 08, 3 for Brann. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.