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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eliteserien · Matchweek 29

Sarpsborg 08

SAR

Brann

BRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sarpsborg 0851%
Draw20%
Brann29%

Expected goals

2.46 – 1.88

Over 2.5

79%

Both to score

78%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–17.6%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–16.4%
  • 3–16.0%
  • 3–25.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sarpsborg 08 will have the ball; Brann will not mind.

65%Possession57%
53%Territory55%
49%From set plays17%
0.11Chance quality0.14
6.8%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sarpsborg 08, 3 for Brann. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.