Eliteserien · Matchweek 29
Vålerenga
VLE
Rosenborg
ROS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vålerenga24%
Draw23%
Rosenborg53%
Expected goals
1.35 – 2.03
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.5%
- 1–19.5%
- 0–17.5%
- 0–27.0%
- 2–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession55%
50%Territory53%
21%From set plays11%
0.13Chance quality0.13
7.5%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Vålerenga, 3 for Rosenborg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vålerenga
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.