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Eliteserien · Matchweek 29

Molde

MOL

Viking

VIK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Molde27%
Draw25%
Viking48%

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.76

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.9%
  • 129.4%
  • 018.8%
  • 027.1%
  • 216.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Viking get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

58%Possession54%
44%Territory43%
23%From set plays41%
0.13Chance quality0.15
4.3%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Molde, 3 for Viking. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.