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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eliteserien · Matchweek 29

Aalesund

AAL

Bodø/Glimt

BOD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Aalesund14%
Draw17%
Bodø/Glimt69%

Expected goals

1.16 – 2.63

Over 2.5

72%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.1%
  • 0–28.1%
  • 1–38.0%
  • 1–17.0%
  • 0–36.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bodø/Glimt will have the ball; Aalesund will not mind.

35%Possession55%
31%Territory56%
12%From set plays17%
0.11Chance quality0.14
8.1%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aalesund, 3 for Bodø/Glimt. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.