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Eliteserien · Matchweek 29

Aalesund

AAL

Bodø/Glimt

BOD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Aalesund11%
Draw17%
Bodø/Glimt73%

Expected goals

0.94 – 2.54

Over 2.5

67%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0210.2%
  • 129.4%
  • 018.4%
  • 038.2%
  • 138.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bodø/Glimt will have the ball; Aalesund will not mind.

50%Possession59%
46%Territory56%
11%From set plays9%
0.11Chance quality0.13
6.4%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aalesund, 3 for Bodø/Glimt. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.