Eliteserien · Matchweek 29
KFUM
KFU
Fredrikstad
FRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
KFUM58%
Draw24%
Fredrikstad19%
Expected goals
1.82 – 0.97
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.8%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession48%
39%Territory36%
23%From set plays19%
0.14Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for KFUM, 3 for Fredrikstad. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
KFUM
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.