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Eliteserien · Matchweek 29

KFUM

KFU

Fredrikstad

FRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

KFUM32%
Draw31%
Fredrikstad37%

Expected goals

1.08 – 1.19

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

47%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.4%
  • 0112.5%
  • 0011.8%
  • 1011.2%
  • 127.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Fredrikstad will have the ball; KFUM will not mind.

41%Possession49%
38%Territory42%
7%From set plays30%
0.13Chance quality0.12
6.7%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for KFUM, 3 for Fredrikstad. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.