Eliteserien · Matchweek 28
Start
STA
Sarpsborg 08
SAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Start23%
Draw22%
Sarpsborg 0855%
Expected goals
1.38 – 2.13
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.4%
- 1–19.0%
- 0–16.9%
- 0–26.8%
- 1–36.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sarpsborg 08 will have the ball; Start will not mind.
38%Possession65%
35%Territory53%
29%From set plays49%
0.13Chance quality0.11
8.1%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Start, 3 for Sarpsborg 08. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.