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Eliteserien · Matchweek 28

Sandefjord

SAN

Tromsø

TRO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sandefjord49%
Draw29%
Tromsø22%

Expected goals

1.39 – 0.87

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.9%
  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–011.5%
  • 2–09.6%
  • 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sandefjord will have the ball; Tromsø will not mind.

63%Possession51%
44%Territory41%
17%From set plays19%
0.12Chance quality0.08
6.4%Directness4.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sandefjord, 3 for Tromsø. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.