Eliteserien · Matchweek 28
Sandefjord
SAN
Tromsø
TRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sandefjord22%
Draw28%
Tromsø50%
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.49
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.6%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–09.8%
- 0–29.4%
- 1–29.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession52%
34%Territory36%
17%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.10
7.5%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sandefjord, 3 for Tromsø. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sandefjord
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.