Eliteserien · Matchweek 28
Fredrikstad
FRE
Aalesund
AAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fredrikstad49%
Draw26%
Aalesund25%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.17
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fredrikstad get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession50%
42%Territory46%
30%From set plays11%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.3%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fredrikstad, 3 for Aalesund. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fredrikstad
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.