Eliteserien · Matchweek 28
Fredrikstad
FRE
Aalesund
AAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fredrikstad41%
Draw25%
Aalesund35%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.57
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.8%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fredrikstad will have the ball; Aalesund will not mind.
48%Possession35%
36%Territory31%
19%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.7%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fredrikstad, 3 for Aalesund. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fredrikstad
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.