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Eliteserien · Matchweek 28

Brann

BRA

Kristiansund

KRI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Brann61%
Draw18%
Kristiansund22%

Expected goals

2.88 – 1.80

Over 2.5

83%

Both to score

79%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–17.2%
  • 3–16.7%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 3–26.0%
  • 1–15.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Brann will have the ball; Kristiansund will not mind.

57%Possession44%
55%Territory41%
17%From set plays20%
0.14Chance quality0.15
6.4%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brann, 3 for Kristiansund. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.