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Eliteserien · Matchweek 28

Brann

BRA

Kristiansund

KRI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Brann62%
Draw22%
Kristiansund16%

Expected goals

1.95 – 0.91

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1011.8%
  • 2010.8%
  • 1110.1%
  • 2110.0%
  • 306.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Brann will have the ball; Kristiansund will not mind.

63%Possession41%
54%Territory35%
34%From set plays8%
0.08Chance quality0.08
3.9%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brann, 3 for Kristiansund. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.