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Eliteserien · Matchweek 28

Rosenborg

ROS

Molde

MOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rosenborg28%
Draw25%
Molde47%

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.76

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.9%
  • 129.4%
  • 018.6%
  • 026.9%
  • 216.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

55%Possession58%
51%Territory44%
23%From set plays23%
0.10Chance quality0.13
4.2%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rosenborg, 3 for Molde. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.