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Eliteserien · Matchweek 28

Rosenborg

ROS

Molde

MOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rosenborg50%
Draw22%
Molde27%

Expected goals

2.07 – 1.52

Over 2.5

68%

Both to score

69%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–26.4%
  • 1–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Molde will have the ball; Rosenborg will not mind.

55%Possession65%
53%Territory50%
11%From set plays10%
0.13Chance quality0.21
3.8%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rosenborg, 3 for Molde. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.