Eliteserien · Matchweek 28
Viking
VIK
Vålerenga
VLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Viking76%
Draw15%
Vålerenga9%
Expected goals
2.64 – 0.87
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.7%
- 2–19.1%
- 3–09.0%
- 1–08.4%
- 3–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession53%
43%Territory47%
41%From set plays33%
0.15Chance quality0.10
5.5%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Viking, 3 for Vålerenga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Viking
Vålerenga
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.