Eliteserien · Matchweek 28
Viking
VIK
Vålerenga
VLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Viking68%
Draw18%
Vålerenga14%
Expected goals
2.39 – 1.05
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.3%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–18.1%
- 3–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession49%
43%Territory50%
18%From set plays21%
0.15Chance quality0.13
5.8%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Viking, 4 for Vålerenga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.