Eliteserien · Matchweek 27
Sarpsborg 08
SAR
Lillestrøm
LIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sarpsborg 0847%
Draw24%
Lillestrøm29%
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.41
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–07.8%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sarpsborg 08 will have the ball; Lillestrøm will not mind.
65%Possession41%
53%Territory39%
49%From set plays38%
0.11Chance quality0.12
6.8%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sarpsborg 08, 3 for Lillestrøm. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sarpsborg 08
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.