Eliteserien · Matchweek 27
Aalesund
AAL
Rosenborg
ROS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aalesund39%
Draw25%
Rosenborg36%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.60
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession55%
46%Territory51%
11%From set plays23%
0.11Chance quality0.10
6.4%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aalesund, 3 for Rosenborg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.