Eliteserien · Matchweek 27
Aalesund
AAL
Rosenborg
ROS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aalesund15%
Draw19%
Rosenborg65%
Expected goals
1.09 – 2.32
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.7%
- 0–29.0%
- 1–18.4%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–37.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rosenborg will have the ball; Aalesund will not mind.
35%Possession55%
31%Territory53%
12%From set plays11%
0.11Chance quality0.13
8.1%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aalesund, 3 for Rosenborg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Aalesund
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.