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Eliteserien · Matchweek 27

Kristiansund

KRI

Sandefjord

SAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kristiansund22%
Draw23%
Sandefjord55%

Expected goals

1.25 – 2.00

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.8%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 0–27.7%
  • 1–36.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sandefjord will have the ball; Kristiansund will not mind.

44%Possession63%
41%Territory44%
20%From set plays17%
0.15Chance quality0.12
7.1%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kristiansund, 3 for Sandefjord. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.