Eliteserien · Matchweek 27
Kristiansund
KRI
Sandefjord
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kristiansund37%
Draw29%
Sandefjord34%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.22
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–110.4%
- 0–09.7%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession46%
35%Territory34%
8%From set plays17%
0.08Chance quality0.09
7.7%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kristiansund, 3 for Sandefjord. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.