Eliteserien · Matchweek 27
Tromsø
TRO
Viking
VIK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tromsø22%
Draw29%
Viking48%
Expected goals
0.87 – 1.38
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.9%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–011.7%
- 0–29.5%
- 1–09.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession48%
41%Territory43%
19%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.15
4.4%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tromsø, 3 for Viking. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.