Eliteserien · Matchweek 27
Tromsø
TRO
Viking
VIK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tromsø23%
Draw26%
Viking51%
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.61
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.1%
- 1–111.9%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–29.0%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession54%
36%Territory43%
30%From set plays41%
0.10Chance quality0.15
7.6%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tromsø, 3 for Viking. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.