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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eliteserien · Matchweek 27

Molde

MOL

Bodø/Glimt

BOD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Molde38%
Draw23%
Bodø/Glimt39%

Expected goals

1.93 – 1.96

Over 2.5

73%

Both to score

74%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–18.2%
  • 1–27.6%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 2–27.4%
  • 2–34.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Molde will have the ball; Bodø/Glimt will not mind.

65%Possession55%
50%Territory56%
10%From set plays17%
0.21Chance quality0.14
4.3%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Molde, 3 for Bodø/Glimt. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.