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Eliteserien · Matchweek 27

Molde

MOL

Bodø/Glimt

BOD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Molde24%
Draw25%
Bodø/Glimt51%

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.76

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.1%
  • 019.8%
  • 129.7%
  • 028.0%
  • 106.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

58%Possession59%
44%Territory56%
23%From set plays9%
0.13Chance quality0.13
4.3%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Molde, 3 for Bodø/Glimt. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.