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Eliteserien · Matchweek 27

Vålerenga

VLE

Start

STA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Vålerenga67%
Draw18%
Start15%

Expected goals

2.63 – 1.27

Over 2.5

74%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.0%
  • 3–17.8%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 1–16.9%
  • 3–06.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Vålerenga will have the ball; Start will not mind.

49%Possession38%
50%Territory35%
21%From set plays29%
0.13Chance quality0.13
7.5%Directness8.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Vålerenga, 3 for Start. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.