Eliteserien · Matchweek 27
Hamarkameratene
HAM
Fredrikstad
FRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
HamKam37%
Draw28%
Fredrikstad34%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.27
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–08.6%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession48%
37%Territory36%
31%From set plays19%
0.07Chance quality0.10
9.7%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for HamKam, 3 for Fredrikstad. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.