Eliteserien · Matchweek 27
Hamarkameratene
HAM
Fredrikstad
FRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
HamKam26%
Draw28%
Fredrikstad46%
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.43
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–112.6%
- 0–09.7%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession49%
37%Territory42%
37%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.12
7.2%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for HamKam, 3 for Fredrikstad. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.