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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eliteserien · Matchweek 26

Rosenborg

ROS

Start

STA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rosenborg50%
Draw24%
Start26%

Expected goals

1.89 – 1.35

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 2–06.9%
  • 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rosenborg will have the ball; Start will not mind.

55%Possession45%
51%Territory40%
23%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.10
4.2%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rosenborg, 3 for Start. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.