Eliteserien · Matchweek 26
Sandefjord
SAN
Molde
MOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sandefjord39%
Draw24%
Molde37%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.67
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–06.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
63%Possession65%
44%Territory50%
17%From set plays10%
0.12Chance quality0.21
6.4%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sandefjord, 3 for Molde. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sandefjord
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.