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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eliteserien · Matchweek 26

Kristiansund

KRI

Vålerenga

VLE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kristiansund27%
Draw26%
Vålerenga46%

Expected goals

1.17 – 1.58

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–27.6%
  • 1–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Vålerenga will have the ball; Kristiansund will not mind.

41%Possession53%
35%Territory47%
8%From set plays33%
0.08Chance quality0.10
7.7%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kristiansund, 3 for Vålerenga. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.