Eliteserien · Matchweek 26
Hamarkameratene
HAM
Sarpsborg 08
SAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
HamKam23%
Draw24%
Sarpsborg 0853%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.83
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–28.2%
- 2–16.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sarpsborg 08 will have the ball; HamKam will not mind.
43%Possession65%
37%Territory53%
31%From set plays49%
0.07Chance quality0.11
9.7%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for HamKam, 3 for Sarpsborg 08. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.