Eliteserien · Matchweek 26
Lillestrøm
LIL
Aalesund
AAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lillestrøm41%
Draw25%
Aalesund34%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.52
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.8%
- 1–07.3%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lillestrøm get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession50%
33%Territory46%
32%From set plays11%
0.13Chance quality0.11
7.5%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lillestrøm, 3 for Aalesund. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.