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Eliteserien · Matchweek 26

Fredrikstad

FRE

Brann

BRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Fredrikstad39%
Draw28%
Brann33%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.23

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.7%
  • 1010.6%
  • 019.5%
  • 008.8%
  • 218.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Brann will have the ball; Fredrikstad will not mind.

49%Possession63%
42%Territory54%
30%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.08
5.3%Directness3.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fredrikstad, 3 for Brann. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.