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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eliteserien · Matchweek 26

Fredrikstad

FRE

Brann

BRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Fredrikstad30%
Draw22%
Brann47%

Expected goals

1.71 – 2.13

Over 2.5

72%

Both to score

73%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–28.4%
  • 1–18.2%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 2–16.6%
  • 1–35.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Brann will have the ball; Fredrikstad will not mind.

48%Possession57%
36%Territory55%
19%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.14
5.7%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fredrikstad, 3 for Brann. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.