Eliteserien · Matchweek 26
Viking
VIK
KFUM
KFU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Viking62%
Draw23%
KFUM15%
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.82
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 2–011.7%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession45%
43%Territory39%
18%From set plays23%
0.15Chance quality0.14
5.8%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Viking, 4 for KFUM. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.