Eliteserien · Matchweek 26
Tromsø
TRO
Bodø/Glimt
BOD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tromsø23%
Draw27%
Bodø/Glimt51%
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.58
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.4%
- 1–112.0%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–29.1%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession55%
41%Territory56%
19%From set plays17%
0.08Chance quality0.14
4.4%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tromsø, 3 for Bodø/Glimt. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.