Eliteserien · Matchweek 25
Aalesund
AAL
Sandefjord
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aalesund50%
Draw25%
Sandefjord25%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.24
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–07.5%
- 1–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession46%
46%Territory34%
11%From set plays17%
0.11Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aalesund, 3 for Sandefjord. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.