Eliteserien · Matchweek 25
Vålerenga
VLE
Tromsø
TRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vålerenga31%
Draw28%
Tromsø41%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.39
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–09.2%
- 0–08.7%
- 1–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession52%
47%Territory36%
33%From set plays30%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.6%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vålerenga, 3 for Tromsø. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vålerenga
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.