Eliteserien · Matchweek 25
Sarpsborg 08
SAR
Kristiansund
KRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sarpsborg 0855%
Draw27%
Kristiansund19%
Expected goals
1.56 – 0.83
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.8%
- 1–111.8%
- 2–010.8%
- 0–010.1%
- 2–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sarpsborg 08 get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession41%
40%Territory35%
25%From set plays8%
0.11Chance quality0.08
6.0%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sarpsborg 08, 3 for Kristiansund. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.