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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eliteserien · Matchweek 25

Bodø/Glimt

BOD

Viking

VIK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bodø/Glimt46%
Draw26%
Viking28%

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.26

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–17.1%
  • 2–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Viking get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

59%Possession54%
56%Territory43%
9%From set plays41%
0.13Chance quality0.15
5.6%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bodø/Glimt, 3 for Viking. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.