Eliteserien · Matchweek 24
Sandefjord
SAN
Lillestrøm
LIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sandefjord38%
Draw28%
Lillestrøm34%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.32
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession44%
34%Territory33%
17%From set plays32%
0.09Chance quality0.13
7.5%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sandefjord, 3 for Lillestrøm. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sandefjord
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.