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Eliteserien · Matchweek 24

Molde

MOL

Start

STA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Molde67%
Draw19%
Start14%

Expected goals

2.37 – 1.06

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 219.7%
  • 209.2%
  • 108.2%
  • 118.2%
  • 317.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Molde will have the ball; Start will not mind.

58%Possession45%
44%Territory40%
23%From set plays28%
0.13Chance quality0.10
4.3%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Molde, 3 for Start. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.