Eliteserien · Matchweek 24
Kristiansund
KRI
Aalesund
AAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kristiansund32%
Draw26%
Aalesund42%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.56
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–19.0%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–07.6%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Aalesund will have the ball; Kristiansund will not mind.
41%Possession50%
35%Territory46%
8%From set plays11%
0.08Chance quality0.11
7.7%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kristiansund, 3 for Aalesund. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.