Eliteserien · Matchweek 24
Viking
VIK
Fredrikstad
FRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Viking71%
Draw18%
Fredrikstad10%
Expected goals
2.23 – 0.76
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.6%
- 1–011.8%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–09.0%
- 1–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession49%
43%Territory42%
41%From set plays30%
0.15Chance quality0.12
5.5%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Viking, 3 for Fredrikstad. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Viking
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.