Eliteserien · Matchweek 23
Lillestrøm
LIL
Molde
MOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lillestrøm22%
Draw23%
Molde55%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.91
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–28.3%
- 1–36.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Molde will have the ball; Lillestrøm will not mind.
44%Possession58%
33%Territory44%
32%From set plays23%
0.13Chance quality0.13
7.5%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lillestrøm, 3 for Molde. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Molde
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.