Eliteserien · Matchweek 23
Start
STA
Hamarkameratene
HAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Start54%
Draw24%
HamKam23%
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.16
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–16.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession47%
40%Territory37%
28%From set plays37%
0.10Chance quality0.09
6.8%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Start, 3 for HamKam. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.