Eliteserien · Matchweek 23
Fredrikstad
FRE
Tromsø
TRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fredrikstad32%
Draw31%
Tromsø37%
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.17
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 0–112.7%
- 0–012.1%
- 1–011.4%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession52%
42%Territory36%
30%From set plays30%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.3%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fredrikstad, 3 for Tromsø. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fredrikstad
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.