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Eliteserien · Matchweek 23

Bodø/Glimt

BOD

Kristiansund

KRI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bodø/Glimt86%
Draw10%
Kristiansund4%

Expected goals

2.97 – 0.56

Over 2.5

68%

Both to score

41%

Fair handicap

-2.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2013.3%
  • 3012.8%
  • 409.3%
  • 109.2%
  • 317.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bodø/Glimt will have the ball; Kristiansund will not mind.

59%Possession41%
56%Territory35%
9%From set plays8%
0.13Chance quality0.08
5.6%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bodø/Glimt, 3 for Kristiansund. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.