Eliteserien · Matchweek 22
Molde
MOL
Aalesund
AAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Molde66%
Draw19%
Aalesund15%
Expected goals
2.39 – 1.10
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.9%
- 1–18.1%
- 1–07.9%
- 3–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession50%
44%Territory46%
23%From set plays11%
0.13Chance quality0.11
4.3%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Molde, 3 for Aalesund. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Molde
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.