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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eliteserien · Matchweek 22

Viking

VIK

Lillestrøm

LIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Viking81%
Draw12%
Lillestrøm6%

Expected goals

2.89 – 0.76

Over 2.5

70%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-2.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–011.2%
  • 3–010.4%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 3–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Viking will have the ball; Lillestrøm will not mind.

54%Possession44%
43%Territory33%
41%From set plays32%
0.15Chance quality0.13
5.5%Directness7.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Viking, 3 for Lillestrøm. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.