Eliteserien · Matchweek 22
Sandefjord
SAN
Start
STA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sandefjord37%
Draw27%
Start36%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.44
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession45%
34%Territory40%
17%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.10
7.5%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sandefjord, 3 for Start. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sandefjord
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.