Eliteserien · Matchweek 22
Tromsø
TRO
Hamarkameratene
HAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tromsø66%
Draw22%
HamKam12%
Expected goals
1.93 – 0.73
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.1%
- 2–013.0%
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession47%
36%Territory37%
30%From set plays37%
0.10Chance quality0.09
7.4%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tromsø, 3 for HamKam. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.