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Eliteserien · Matchweek 22

Brann

BRA

Bodø/Glimt

BOD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Brann16%
Draw21%
Bodø/Glimt62%

Expected goals

0.98 – 2.04

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0110.5%
  • 0210.1%
  • 1210.0%
  • 119.7%
  • 136.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Brann get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

63%Possession59%
54%Territory56%
34%From set plays9%
0.08Chance quality0.13
3.9%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brann, 3 for Bodø/Glimt. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.