Eliteserien · Matchweek 22
Sarpsborg 08
SAR
KFUM
KFU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sarpsborg 0846%
Draw30%
KFUM24%
Expected goals
1.34 – 0.91
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.5%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–011.8%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sarpsborg 08 get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession41%
40%Territory38%
25%From set plays7%
0.11Chance quality0.13
6.0%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sarpsborg 08, 3 for KFUM. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
KFUM
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.