Eliteserien · Matchweek 12
Start
STA
Sandefjord
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Start49%
Draw25%
Sandefjord26%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.23
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.5%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession46%
40%Territory34%
28%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.09
6.8%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Start, 3 for Sandefjord. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.