Skip to content

Eliteserien · Matchweek 12

Molde

MOL

Fredrikstad

FRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Molde56%
Draw25%
Fredrikstad20%

Expected goals

1.76 – 0.98

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1012.0%
  • 1111.1%
  • 219.8%
  • 209.8%
  • 007.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Molde will have the ball; Fredrikstad will not mind.

58%Possession49%
44%Territory42%
23%From set plays30%
0.13Chance quality0.12
4.3%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Molde, 3 for Fredrikstad. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.